Did anybody watch the Intelligence Squared debate, on the BBC News channel, yesterday? There's a video of Christopher Hitchens, at the debate, below, at the bottom of this post. The Catholics got trounced by the atheists. I’ve been waiting for the transcript but, so far, none has materialized. So I gathered the stats instead.
Before I continue, I should describe the Intelligence Squared debate format. Each debate has a proposition. In this case, the proposition is: “The Catholic Church is a Force for Good in the World”. The attending audience votes on the proposition both before and after the debate. This particular debate had an amazing, first-ever, voting result. You’ll find the stats below, and my analysis of those stats.
The debate took place at: Methodist Central Hall Westminster. October 19, 2009.
Speakers for the motion:
Archbishop John Onaiyekan Roman Catholic Archbishop of Abuja, Nigeria.
Rt Hon Ann Widdecombe MP Conservative MP and Catholic convert.
Speakers against the motion:
Christopher Hitchens Writer, broadcaster and polemicist, author of the bestselling book "God is not Great".
Stephen Fry Actor, author, comedian and television presenter.
Chair:
Zeinab Badawi BBC World News anchor.
Proposition:
The Catholic church is a force for good in the world
Vote #1 (before the debate, 2126 total votes)
Is the Catholic Church a force of good in the world?
Yes 678 (31.9%)
No 1102 (51.8%)
Undecided 346 (16.3%)
Vote #2 (after the debate, 2178 total votes)
Is the Catholic Church a force of good in the world?
Yes 268 (12.4%) Lost 410 votes
No 1876 (86.0%) Gained 774 votes
Undecided 34 (1.6%) Lost 312 votes
I did the math and found that if you combine the votes lost from the Yes and Undecided columns, you get 722 votes. But the No column gained 774 votes! How did that happen? What happened is that there were 52 people who arrived late and didn’t get to vote before the debate. There were 52 more votes after the debate (2178) than before (2126). If you add those 52 votes to the 722 changed votes, you get exactly 774 votes: the same number as the votes gained in the No column.
It would appear that ALL votes that changed, after the debate, went to the No column and all 52 additional (tardy) votes went to the No column as well. That is simply phenomenal and is a first for Intelligence Squared.
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Tags: BBC, Catholic, Christopher Hitchens, Intelligence Squared, Zeinab Badawi, debate, embarrassment
Comment by a7 on November 9, 2009 at 8:13pm
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