U.S. Presidential Election Predictions
I'm predicting that the President will get a second term despite slightly losing the general vote, all due to America's wacky Electoral College system. In other words, the reverse of the Bush/Gore election.
Maybe this will be the impetus to get rid of the wacky Electoral College thing.
What's your prediction?
Replies to This Discussion
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Permalink Reply by Judith van der Roos on -
I predict that it simply does not matter much because big money and big business are what gets them into Orifice and once in the incumbent has to pay up on the millions of dollars it took to get there.
"Democracy" my pert little ass !
Regards,
Judith vd R.
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Permalink Reply by Ed on -
BIG Money runs the entire world; no one is immune from it's influence. It sucks.
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Permalink Reply by James on -
I also feel that an Obama win is looking pretty safe. Fine by me, because he's certainly better than Romney. He may just win the popular vote, but should be fine in the electoral college. I think the Democrats will win the senate as well.
Last prediction, I'm voting for Rocky Anderson, but he will probably only come in fifth...
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Permalink Reply by Strega on -
With bumper stickers
Magic knickers
And Chicken Fil 'A' bias
Commercial Hour
Dictates the power
And nil's decided by us.We'll make our notes
And cast our votes
If it goes wrong, it's not us
They way they play,
Through who can pay,
Is what dictates our POTUS
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Permalink Reply by Colleen on -
With election day fast approaching, perhaps we could all use a laugh. My boyfriend shared this "prediction" with me over coffee earlier today:
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Permalink Reply by Sagacious Hawk on -
That's fantastic.
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Permalink Reply by Melvinotis on -
Obama win likely, but not in the bag. Looking into the future though, 2016 and further on it looks increasingly democratic for a few different reasons. Mostly having nothing to do with actual politics.
- Immigration--Latinos seemed to have made their decision on which camp they are in and will be the largest growing voter block.
- "Nones"--Another block that is increasing are those that identify themselves as having no religious affiliation. One of the biggest reasons for that choice of lifestyle is the political affiliations of religious leaders and laypeople. Forgive the expression, but all the large religions are soon to have a "Come to Jesus" moment when they realize that mixing their faith with their politics is bad for their faith, at least in terms of population.
- Older folks as a population are more conservative, giving them a Republican "lean". (don't get me wrong some of the most awesome older people I know are staunch Democrats) since the largest amount of older folks are in the baby boom generation, 2016 and especially 2020 mean that many of them won't be around anymore to vote. That is why I am predicting 2016 kicks Florida out of the battleground state status, and 2020 makes it solidly blue.
Since the country is so close to 50/50, these marginal changes will make the big difference going forward. I don't see a whole lot pushing the other direction.
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Permalink Reply by Unseen on -
Speaking for myself, I feel that as long as there are wacko Republicans spouting nonsense about abortion and rape, the gender gap will be a huge problem for them, and since most of the more mainstream Republicans (about 95% of them male) want to dictate to women when, where, and how they can get an abortion if they want it, women will find it hard to support even so-called "moderate" Republicans.
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Permalink Reply by Unseen on
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Regarding your point 3., older people who have traditionally voted Republican will be very sensitive to changes in Social Security by reducing benefits or requiring a means test.
The GOP will have to change its ways. This is probably the last election where they stand a ghost of a chance of winning the Presidency with the sorts of policies Romney/Ryan are talking about,
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Permalink Reply by Melvinotis on
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Had a lively discussion with a republican friend and he says Marco Rubio will be the candidate in 2016, thus reversing the Latino/Hispanic trend. I would have to agree with him if that was the case.
Having voted last week, I am so over this election. Somebody flip a coin and tell me who wins tomorrow.
P.S. If Ohio is close enough, the Ohio absentee votes won't even get fully counted until Nov. 16th. So there is a fair possibility we won't even know who the president will be until then.
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Permalink Reply by Unseen on
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Black people voted for Obama because they liked his policies and he is black.
Marco Rubio will get some Hispanic votes because he's Hispanic, but most Hispanics won't be drawn to Republicanism because of the values of the Republican party are still pretty much aligned with old white men and Protestant fundamentalists.
Unless it changes its stances on issues Hispanics care about (immigration, helping the poor), the GOP is doomed.
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